Download Abductive Inference: Computation, Philosophy, Technology by John R. Josephson, Susan G. Josephson PDF

By John R. Josephson, Susan G. Josephson

In casual phrases, abductive reasoning includes inferring the simplest or such a lot believable clarification from a given set of evidence or information. This quantity provides new principles approximately inferential and information-processing foundations for wisdom and simple task. The authors argue that wisdom arises from adventure by way of tactics of abductive inference, not like the view that it arises noninferentially, or that deduction and inductive generalization are adequate to account for wisdom. The e-book tells the tale of six generations of more and more refined regularly occurring abduction machines and the invention of reasoning recommendations that make it computationally possible to shape well-justified composite explanatory hypotheses, regardless of the specter of combinatorial explosion. This booklet can be of significant curiosity to researchers in AI, cognitive technology, and philosophy of technology.

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This is not to say that logic as a set of ideas about justification is not important for understanding intelligence. How intelligent agents generate justifications, how they integrate them with discovery processes for a final answer that is plausibly correct, and how the total computational process is controlled in complexity are indeed questions for AI as an information-processing theory of intelligence. It seems highly plausible that much of the power of intelligence arises, not from its ability to lead to correct conclusions, but from its ability to direct explorations, retrieve plausible ideas, and focus the more computationally expensive justification processes to where they are actually required.

Yet from a design-science perspective, there are realistic ways of looking at nature in terms of design and teleology. For example, from the perspective of design science, the heart has valves for the purpose of facilitating its task of pumping the blood. Focusing on this kind of description is essential to understanding nature from the perspective of the artifactual. If someone wants to understand why the parts are present, or why they have the forms that they have, or wants to make a heart, then that person needs to know what the parts are for.

To see this, consider the alternative analysis of inductive projections, as follows: Conceptual analysis of abduction 23 Observations -» At least generally A's are ZTs -> The next A will be a 5. This inference is stronger in that it establishes its conclusion with more certainty, which it does by hedging the generalization and thus making it more plausible, more likely to be true. It could be made stronger yet by hedging the temporal extent of the generalization: Observations -> At least generally A's are ZTs, at least for the recent past and the immediate future —> The next A will be a B.

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